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DESCRIPTION:The concept of risk is a combination of threat probabilities\, 
 vulnerabilities and expected consequences. In traditional risk modeling an
 d evaluation approaches\, analyses are performed at design time and possib
 ly repeated periodically\, or at any relevant system change. With such app
 roaches\, there is no possibility to evaluate how the risk evolves over ti
 me as a condition of actual system state and detected threats. One challen
 ging objective in the field of connected cyber-physical systems (CPS) and 
 the Internet of Things (IoT) is to improve resilience by providing non-tri
 vial mechanisms for run-time threat detection\, risk estimation and system
  reconfiguration following Self-X principles like self-diagnostics and sel
 f-healing. Threats include faults\, errors and failures\, and can be eithe
 r intentional (e.g.\, security attacks) or unintentional (e.g.\, random fa
 ults). A central issue is to develop model-based approaches allowing for r
 un-time risk evaluation accounting for uncertainties in system itself and 
 in the surrounding environment. Those models should be such to account for
  growing complexity (size\, distribution\, heterogeneity) and criticality 
 of modern CPS. Multi-paradigm modeling can combine probabilistic modelling
  languages borrowed from Artificial Intelligence (e.g.\, Bayesian Networks
 ) with formalisms like high-level Petri Nets\, in order to find the optima
 l balance and trade-off between ease of use\, expressive power and solving
  efficiency. Models used in static risk assessment at design time can be r
 eused and integrated in appropriate frameworks to allow online monitoring 
 of relevant system parameters\, threat detection and dynamic adaptation to
  respond to threats. In critical applications\, the reuse of suitable mode
 ls already employed for system certification together with run-time model-
 checking supports explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) that is reques
 ted to build trustworthy autonomous CPS like self-driving vehicles. The ne
 xt generation of run-time risk models will act as Digital Twins to anticip
 ate threats and enable novel paradigms like proactive dependability and co
 llaborative security as a support to prognostics and preventive maintenanc
 e in Industry 4.0 and other smart-X applications (e.g.\, smart-houses\, sm
 art-cities\, smart-transportation\, etc.). In fact\, Digital Twins (DT) ar
 e emerging as an extremely promising paradigm for run-time modelling and p
 erformability prediction of cyber-physical systems (CPS) in various domain
 s. Although several different definitions and industrial applications of D
 T exist\, ranging from purely visual three-dimensional models to predictiv
 e maintenance tools\, in this talk we focus on data-driven evaluation and 
 prediction of critical dependability attributes such as safety. To that ai
 m\, we introduce a conceptual framework based on autonomic systems to host
  DT run-time models based on a structured and systematic approach. We argu
 e that the convergence between DT and self-adaptation is the key to build 
 smarter\, resilient and trustworthy CPS that can self-monitor\, self-diagn
 ose and – ultimately – self-heal. The conceptual framework eases depen
 dability assessment\, which is essential for the certification of autonomo
 us CPS operating with artificial intelligence and machine learning in crit
 ical applications.\n\nSpeaker(s): Francesco Flammini\n\nVirtual: https://e
 vents.vtools.ieee.org/m/360891
LOCATION:Virtual: https://events.vtools.ieee.org/m/360891
ORGANIZER:danielchaves@ieee.org
SEQUENCE:19
SUMMARY:Digital Twins for Trustworthy Autonomy
URL;VALUE=URI:https://events.vtools.ieee.org/m/360891
X-ALT-DESC:Description: &lt;br /&gt;&lt;p&gt;The concept of risk is a combination of th
 reat probabilities\, vulnerabilities and expected consequences. In traditi
 onal risk modeling and evaluation approaches\, analyses are performed at d
 esign time and possibly repeated periodically\, or at any relevant system 
 change. With such approaches\, there is no possibility to evaluate how the
  risk evolves over time as a condition of actual system state and detected
  threats. One challenging objective in the field of connected cyber-physic
 al systems (CPS) and the Internet of Things (IoT) is to improve resilience
  by providing non-trivial mechanisms for run-time threat detection\, risk 
 estimation and system reconfiguration following Self-X principles like sel
 f-diagnostics and self-healing. Threats include faults\, errors and failur
 es\, and can be either intentional (e.g.\, security attacks) or unintentio
 nal (e.g.\, random faults). A central issue is to develop model-based appr
 oaches allowing for run-time risk evaluation accounting for uncertainties 
 in system itself and in the surrounding environment. Those models should b
 e such to account for growing complexity (size\, distribution\, heterogene
 ity) and criticality of modern CPS. Multi-paradigm modeling can combine pr
 obabilistic modelling languages borrowed from Artificial Intelligence (e.g
 .\, Bayesian Networks) with formalisms like high-level Petri Nets\, in ord
 er to find the optimal balance and trade-off between ease of use\, express
 ive power and solving efficiency. Models used in static risk assessment at
  design time can be reused and integrated in appropriate frameworks to all
 ow online monitoring of relevant system parameters\, threat detection and 
 dynamic adaptation to respond to threats. In critical applications\, the r
 euse of suitable models already employed for system certification together
  with run-time model-checking supports explainable Artificial Intelligence
  (XAI) that is requested to build trustworthy autonomous CPS like self-dri
 ving vehicles. The next generation of run-time risk models will act as Dig
 ital Twins to anticipate threats and enable novel paradigms like proactive
  dependability and collaborative security as a support to prognostics and 
 preventive maintenance in Industry 4.0 and other smart-X applications (e.g
 .\, smart-houses\, smart-cities\, smart-transportation\, etc.). In fact\, 
 Digital Twins (DT) are emerging as an extremely promising paradigm for run
 -time modelling and performability prediction of cyber-physical systems (C
 PS) in various domains. Although several different definitions and industr
 ial applications of DT exist\, ranging from purely visual three-dimensiona
 l models to predictive maintenance tools\, in this talk we focus on data-d
 riven evaluation and prediction of critical dependability attributes such 
 as safety. To that aim\, we introduce a conceptual framework based on auto
 nomic systems to host DT run-time models based on a structured and systema
 tic approach. We argue that the convergence between DT and self-adaptation
  is the key to build smarter\, resilient and trustworthy CPS that can self
 -monitor\, self-diagnose and &amp;ndash\; ultimately &amp;ndash\; self-heal. The c
 onceptual framework eases dependability assessment\, which is essential fo
 r the certification of autonomous CPS operating with artificial intelligen
 ce and machine learning in critical applications.&lt;/p&gt;
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