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DTSTART:20260308T030000
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DTSTART:20251102T010000
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DTSTAMP:20251107T143818Z
UID:2F4E7B3C-363D-4C42-95C4-C0141C41A383
DTSTART;TZID=US/Central:20251106T170000
DTEND;TZID=US/Central:20251106T200000
DESCRIPTION:[]\n\nModern weather forecasting is a computationally intensive
  activity\, relying on expensive data sources like satellites and Doppler 
 radar. This presentation explores an alternative\, low-cost approach using
  machine learning to predict local weather conditions. By leveraging histo
 rical METAR data (routine reports published by airports)\, we can train a 
 deep neural network to find predictive patterns that are difficult to disc
 ern with other methods.\n\nThis talk will detail the complete project life
 cycle: from acquiring and cleansing over 7.5 million METAR records to the 
 design\, training\, and tuning of the neural network using Pylorch. An emp
 hasis is placed on explaining the steps generally used to develop machine 
 learning applications. We will cover feature engineering\, model architect
 ure\, and the results\, which show the model can predict temperature 30 ho
 urs out with a Mean Absolute Error of about 2.6°C. While not matching the
  precision of state-of-the-art global systems\, this method produces a rea
 sonably accurate forecast using minimal resources\, demonstrating the powe
 r of machine learning to create effective solutions without the need for s
 upercomputers. At the close of the talk\, we will demonstrate the tool in 
 its current form.\n\nThis presentation will count for 1 Professional Devel
 opment Hour (PDH) for the PE License in Wisconsin and Michigan.\n\n[]\n\nS
 peaker(s): Greg Hawley \n\nAgenda: \n5:00 Featured Speaker - Greg Hawley\n
 \nD.J. Bordini Center at FVTC\n\n[]\n\n6:30 Adjourn to Good Company\n110 N
 . Richmond St.\nAppleton\, WI\n\n6:45 Social time\, cash bar open\nOrder m
 eals from the restaurant menu\n\n7:00 Section announcements\, door prize d
 rawing\n\nRoom: BC112B\, Bldg: D.J. Bordini Center at FVTC\, 5 N. Systems 
 Drive\, Appleton\, Wisconsin\, United States\, 54914
LOCATION:Room: BC112B\, Bldg: D.J. Bordini Center at FVTC\, 5 N. Systems Dr
 ive\, Appleton\, Wisconsin\, United States\, 54914
ORGANIZER:blluchs@ieee.org
SEQUENCE:134
SUMMARY:Weather Forecasting Using METAR Inputs Through Machine Learning: Go
 od Forecasts at Lower Computation and Data Acquisition Cost
URL;VALUE=URI:https://events.vtools.ieee.org/m/507833
X-ALT-DESC:Description: &lt;br /&gt;&lt;p class=&quot;MsoNormal&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: 
 12.0pt\; line-height: 115%\; font-family: &#39;Aptos&#39;\,sans-serif\; mso-ascii-
 theme-font: minor-latin\; mso-fareast-font-family: Aptos\; mso-fareast-the
 me-font: minor-latin\; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin\; mso-bidi-font-f
 amily: &#39;Times New Roman&#39;\; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi\; mso-ansi-lang
 uage: EN-US\; mso-fareast-language: EN-US\; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA\;&quot;&gt;&amp;n
 bsp\;&lt;img style=&quot;display: block\; margin-left: auto\; margin-right: auto\;
 &quot; src=&quot;https://events.vtools.ieee.org/vtools_ui/media/display/0a27fff0-ffb
 a-40b6-b430-1aec2372ca0d&quot; alt=&quot;&quot; width=&quot;742&quot; height=&quot;300&quot;&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;\n&lt;p 
 class=&quot;MsoNormal&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: 12.0pt\; line-height: 115%\; fon
 t-family: &#39;Aptos&#39;\,sans-serif\; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin\; mso-fa
 reast-font-family: Aptos\; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin\; mso-hansi
 -theme-font: minor-latin\; mso-bidi-font-family: &#39;Times New Roman&#39;\; mso-b
 idi-theme-font: minor-bidi\; mso-ansi-language: EN-US\; mso-fareast-langua
 ge: EN-US\; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA\;&quot;&gt;Modern weather forecasting is a co
 mputationally intensive activity\, relying on expensive data sources like 
 satellites and Doppler radar. This presentation explores an alternative\, 
 low-cost approach using machine learning to predict local weather conditio
 ns. By leveraging historical METAR data (routine reports published by airp
 orts)\, we can train a deep neural network to find predictive patterns tha
 t are difficult to discern with other methods.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;This talk will detai
 l the complete project lifecycle: from acquiring and cleansing over 7.5 mi
 llion METAR records to the design\, training\, and tuning of the neural ne
 twork using Pylorch. An emphasis is placed on explaining the steps general
 ly used to develop machine learning applications. We will cover feature en
 gineering\, model architecture\, and the results\, which show the model ca
 n predict temperature 30 hours out with a Mean Absolute Error of about 2.6
 &amp;deg\;C. While not matching the precision of state-of-the-art global syste
 ms\, this method produces a reasonably accurate forecast using minimal res
 ources\, demonstrating the power of machine learning to create effective s
 olutions without the need for supercomputers. At the close of the talk\, w
 e will demonstrate the tool in its current form. &amp;nbsp\;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;\n&lt;p&gt;&lt;s
 pan style=&quot;font-family: arial\, helvetica\, sans-serif\; font-size: 12pt\;
 &quot;&gt;This presentation will count for 1 Professional Development Hour (PDH) f
 or the PE License in Wisconsin and Michigan.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;\n&lt;p&gt;&lt;img style=&quot;di
 splay: block\; margin-left: auto\; margin-right: auto\;&quot; src=&quot;https://even
 ts.vtools.ieee.org/vtools_ui/media/display/1fa144a7-4d04-4894-9fef-4a6ab00
 d74a8&quot; alt=&quot;&quot; width=&quot;436&quot; height=&quot;188&quot;&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Agenda: &lt;br /&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;s
 pan style=&quot;font-family: arial\, helvetica\, sans-serif\; font-size: 12pt\;
 &quot;&gt;5:00 Featured Speaker - Greg Hawley&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;\n&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-fam
 ily: arial\, helvetica\, sans-serif\; font-size: 12pt\;&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;
 nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; D.J. Bordini Center at FVTC&lt;br&gt;&amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbs
 p\; &lt;img src=&quot;https://events.vtools.ieee.org/vtools_ui/media/display/bf7f5
 87a-a42b-4fba-ba9c-a5e6b8094b72&quot; width=&quot;643&quot; height=&quot;567&quot;&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;\n&lt;p&gt;
 &lt;span style=&quot;font-family: arial\, helvetica\, sans-serif\; font-size: 12pt
 \;&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\;&lt;img src=&quot;https://events.vtools.ieee.or
 g/vtools_ui/media/display/c80077c0-b9ec-45ae-8545-618e6dd4df87&quot; alt=&quot;&quot; wid
 th=&quot;646&quot; height=&quot;217&quot;&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;\n&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-family: arial\, he
 lvetica\, sans-serif\; font-size: 12pt\;&quot;&gt;6:30 Adjourn to Good Company&lt;/sp
 an&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-family: arial\, helvetica\, sans-serif\; font-siz
 e: 12pt\;&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\;
  &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; 110 N. Richmond St.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;sp
 an style=&quot;font-family: arial\, helvetica\, sans-serif\; font-size: 12pt\;&quot;
 &gt;&amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;
 nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; Appleton\, WI&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;\n&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;f
 ont-family: arial\, helvetica\, sans-serif\; font-size: 12pt\;&quot;&gt;6:45 Socia
 l time\, cash bar open&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-family: arial\, helveti
 ca\, sans-serif\; font-size: 12pt\;&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; &amp;nbsp\; Order
  meals from the restaurant menu&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;\n&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-family: a
 rial\, helvetica\, sans-serif\; font-size: 12pt\;&quot;&gt;7:00 Section announceme
 nts\, door prize drawing&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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